Titan U glossary

Severe Thunderstorm Criteria

Severe Thunderstorm Criteria are the fixed thresholds the National Weather Service uses to distinguish a severe thunderstorm from an ordinary one, currently defined as hail 1 inch or larger in diameter, wind gusts of 58 mph or greater, or a tornado.

Severe Thunderstorm Criteria are the fixed thresholds the National Weather Service uses to distinguish a severe thunderstorm from an ordinary one, currently defined as hail 1 inch or larger in diameter, wind gusts of 58 mph or greater, or a tornado. Any thunderstorm producing at least one of these is officially severe.

Why the thresholds are what they are

The 1-inch hail threshold, adopted nationwide in 2010, corresponds to roughly quarter-sized hail, which is large enough to dent vehicles, injure people caught outdoors, and cause meaningful property damage. The prior 0.75-inch (dime-sized) threshold had produced too many severe warnings for storms that were not causing substantive damage.

The 58-mph wind threshold, equivalent to 50 knots, is set at the low end of the wind speeds that reliably down small trees, damage roofs, and produce measurable damage. It is a threshold that generally survives evaluation across a wide range of surface conditions and storm environments.

A tornado of any intensity qualifies on its own, because even weak tornadoes present life-safety concerns that outweigh their footprint.

How the criteria are used

Warning meteorologists issue Severe Thunderstorm Warnings when radar signatures, spotter reports, or model guidance indicate a storm will meet one of these thresholds. Local storm reports use the same criteria to confirm severe occurrences after the fact.

The criteria also feed the impact-based tiering. A baseline warning uses the 1-inch, 58-mph thresholds. A Considerable tag applies at 1.75-inch hail or 70-mph wind. A Destructive tag applies at 2.75-inch hail or 80-mph wind and triggers Wireless Emergency Alerts on smartphones in the polygon.

What the criteria do not capture

A storm below severe thresholds can still injure or kill. Lightning is a life-safety threat at any storm intensity. Localized flash flooding, especially in urban areas, can be lethal without meeting any wind or hail criterion. Fifty-mile-per-hour outflow can knock a person over even though it falls short of the severe wind cutoff.

The criteria are also uniform across the country by design. In practice, the same storm can feel very different in an open plain versus a densely populated urban corridor, and the warning meteorologist accounts for that context even though the numeric thresholds do not change.

Keep going

How Severe Thunderstorm Criteria connects

Builds on 3

  • Hail

    One of the severe criteria is hail of at least 1 inch, so the criteria build on what hail is and how it is sized.

  • Tornado

    A tornado of any strength makes a storm severe on its own, which is why tornadoes sit inside the severe criteria.

  • Wind Gust

    The wind part of the severe criteria is a gust of 58 mph or more, so it builds on what a wind gust is.

Leads to 6

  • Hail Size Comparison

    Reading the hail size chart builds on the severe criteria, since the quarter at 1 inch marks the severe hail threshold.

  • Impact-Based Warning Tags

    The base level of the severe thunderstorm tags starts at the severe criteria, and higher tags step up from there.

  • Special Weather Statement

    Statements for strong storms are aimed at storms that approach but stay below severe criteria, so the thresholds frame them.

  • Severe Weather Warning

    A Severe Thunderstorm Warning is issued for storms meeting the severe criteria, so the thresholds define what is warnable.

  • Severe Weather Watch

    A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is issued for storms expected to meet severe criteria, so the thresholds come first.

  • Local Storm Report

    Local Storm Reports use the same severe thunderstorm criteria as warnings to confirm severe events after the fact.

Contrasts with 2

  • Significant Hail

    Severe hail starts at 1 inch, and significant hail is twice that diameter, so the two thresholds are easy to mix up.

  • Significant Severe

    Severe criteria mark the low end of severe weather, while significant severe marks the high end of each hazard, so the two are easy to mix up.

Used to measure 1

  • Straight-Line Wind

    The NWS severe thunderstorm criteria set the wind threshold that makes straight-line wind count as severe.